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THE PANGOAL REPORT
Nov 30, -0001
An Outlook for the Domestic and Foreign Policies of the New Administration of the US --Observations over the President-Elect Trump before Inauguration
An Outlook for the Domestic and Foreign Policies of the New Administration of the US --Observations over the President-Elect Trump before Inauguration

Preface

On November 9, 2016, defeating Hilary Clinton, Donald Trump was elected as the 45th American president. At the same time, the Republican Party secured majority in both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Since November 9, 2016, Trump and his team have been working day and night on issues including personnel, policies, public opinions, and foreign relations to prepare for the inauguration on January 20, 2017.

During this time, Trump has touched upon the China issue more frequently and casually compared to his predecessors, and with distinct deal mentality. It has raised more uncertainties in China about the relationship with the US after Trump takes office. The prospect we have to be concerned about is that the No.1 threat confronting China-US relationship in the future is the dominance of offensive realism and antagonistic behavior. And zero-sum pattern is starting to encroach trade and economic ties which have long been the cornerstone of the bilateral relations.

The following is an observation report on what the president-elect has done and said since he won the election. All of the content is based on public information and is hereby presented to you. We hope it can help readers gain clear thinking on where America and China-US relationship are going and also offer informative reading to people who care about the bilateral relations.

The report is divided into six parts, aiming to present in a systematic and comprehensive way all the preparation made by Donald Trump and his team and forecast the Trump administration’s way of governance. Due to limited space, we have to focus only on issues closely related to the interests of China. We appreciate your understanding.


Content

Preface

I. Map out the 100-day Action Plan mainly for boosting American economy

1.1 The shortened task list

1.2 A restrained radical tendency

1.3 The market leaning toward Trump

1.4 “Pro-growth” economic policies

II. Select cabinet members to form a team that can get things done

2.1 Exclude three kinds of people

2.2 Create a strong White House

2.3 White-dominated, Right-oriented, Military-background, Business-veterans

2.4 The hand reaching to the Capitol Hill

2.5 A new political family

III. Endorse oil industry marking the return of the traditional model in US energy politics

3.1 Adjust the pivot of energy policies

3.2 Administration leaning toward fossil fuels

3.3 Promote energy independence

IV. Show his capriciousness and provoke sensitive issues

4.1 A noteworthy “portrait”

4.2 “Twitter president”

4.3 Unpredictability and plasticity

V. Ponder restructuring trade and immigration policies and “America First” will be reflected in the foreign strategy

5.1 Basic values that connect domestic and foreign policies

5.2 Restructuring of trade policies

5.3 The trade restructuring with no miracle promised

5.4 Immigration policies to be tightened

VI. Readopt “peace through strength” and focus the Asia-Pacific polices on military buildup and competition with China

6.1 Replicate “peace through strength”

6.2 Touch on sensitive issues in Asia-Pacific

6.3 Rebalance without “Asia-Pacific Rebalance”

6.4 Impact on Asia-Pacific brought by better ties between the US and Russia

6.5 Tackle relations with China in the deal mentality

Conclusion


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Image Credit: the White House

Topics
  • Domestic Policy
  • Foreign Policy
  • Donald Trump
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